Posts tagged “Doug Susnik

Democrat Party Strategist: Neo-Conservatism is Dead. GOP’s Freedom-Wing Wave of its Future

In a recent memo, leading Democrat Party strategist Doug Sosnik spotlights public attitudes that might affect elections in the near future, including his party’s electoral abilities in a post-Obama era. He notes that the neo-conservative wing of the Republican Party is dying on the vine, as younger voters lean heavily towards the freedom-wing of the GOP (Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, and Mike Lee), a group that focuses on Constitutional and fiscal matters.

On the Direction of the Nation

“Since the beginning of Obama’s second year in office, every NBC/WSJ poll has shown that half or more of Americans believed that the country is headed in the wrong direction, at one point reaching as high as 74%.  Their most recent April poll found that more than 60% of Americans believe the country is still on the wrong track.”

On Government Surveillance Initiatives

“Several Democratic Senators supported Rand Paul’s position against the government’s policy on drones, including Senator Wyden (D-OR), who joined Paul on the floor during his 13-hour filibuster on the issue. There is even more related activity at the state level, led by an alliance of Tea Party backers and the ACLU. A recent Politico analysis found that in more than three-quarters of states legislators from both parties are seeking to limit the use of unmanned drone aircraft.”

At the State Level, Republicans are the Party of Change

“Unlike the divided government at the federal level, there are now 37 states with one-party control. In many of these states, there is a veto-proof majority in the legislature. The Republicans currently control 30 governorships and the entire political apparatus in 24 of these states. Despite the fact that the Republican Party is largely defined at the national level as a congressional party, the real work of repositioning the party and putting policies into practice is happening in the states.”

On the Demographics of Voters

“Although Hispanics have overwhelmingly voted against Republicans since George W. Bush’s re-election in 2004, younger Hispanics feel less of an allegiance to the Democratic Party than their elders. A Gallup analysis of last year’s tracking polling found that Hispanic voters aged 18-34 are nine points less likely to self-identify as Democrats (50% v. 59%) than Hispanic voters 55 years or older. Young Hispanic voters are a disproportionately large share of the Hispanic electorate.”

Sosnik further identifies the party ID by age groups:

Millennials (born 1981-1994): Independents, 45 percent; Democrat, 31 percent; Republican, 24 percent.

The number of Millennials moving from Democrat to independent has increased since Obama’s second term. This group tends to favor the libertarian concepts of fiscal restraint and social tolerance.

Gen Xers (born 1965-1980): Independents, 42 percent; Democrat, 29 percent, Republican, 29 percent.

To read the memo in its entirety, visit the below link:

http://images.politico.com/global/2013/05/09/sosnik_memo_59_final.html

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Steve Spingola is an author and retired Milwaukee Police Department homicide detective. His latest print edition only book, Best of the Spingola Files, Volumes I & II, is now available at Amazon.com.

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